DireBadger
Fanatical Writer
- Joined
- Nov 22, 2022
- Messages
- 525
- Points
- 133
well, I have run the numbers, and if the rate of hardware advancement continues, sub-1000 dollar computers should be able to afford 24 gigs of 'high-speed' (video) memory within the next 2 years.I think you might have nailed something here. The A.I. bubble is most certainly going to burst, with what you said, because people will not be able to keep up with it. They'll need stronger, faster computers, and won't be able to afford them. No wonder A.I. stocks are being watched like hawks right now.
What that means, in a very real way, is that the 'AI junk' for a prolific art producer, should outperform (in a specific, limited way) the 'mass market' producers in about 2 or 3 years.
What THAT means is that a single user, with a good story, should be able to perform ALL the parts of mass media with minimal investment. The true 'creation' will still be limited to a single talented artist (because AI creativity will always suck), but the distribution part? Let's just say Disney, Sony, Warner, and Paramount are about to be hit with the same hammer that Mass Market paperbacks, comic book companies, and even music companies are being hit with. Namely, their irrelevance.
If one guy with a decent computer can basically replace ALL the parts of a studio like Disney and produce something like... say... Robert Heinlein's 'Friday' without the need for actors, unions, pro music, or ANYTHING outside of a decent story... or if she has a small team to handle each of those pieces with AI assistance, you are looking at a new gig economy with minimal cost. Yes, 90% of everything will still be crap (it always has been), but that takes the 'big studios' out of the creativity loop. See Del Rey and Baen Books for examples.
Even today, at a place like Scribblehub, you can find endless entertainment by talented but unknown artists... imagine what it will be like when you can find the same thing for visual entertainment? When Bob Iger suddenly realizes that the income stream he has crapped on for twenty years has become irrelevant?
They know their lifespan is limited, and they are just trying to pry as much money out of it as they can before they go the way of CD distributors. My Response? "Okay, Boomer." Will it interfere with the money chain of 'big' writers? absolutely, but us high-quality little guys will be the new money token dispensers.