What will the next big webfiction trend be?

CharlesEBrown

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Yeah, but they've never had rpg mechanics before. Too bad. Broken stats would actually explain why hunky supernatural boys keep falling in love with Bella, despite the fact that she's the most boring and plain girl on the planet, by her own admission.
Here's how one key scene might have gone if Bella really was the nerd she claimed;
"I'm a... say it..."
"Kryptonian?"
"Uh... wait, what?"
"Daxamite then?"
"No, that's silly..."
"A Mutant!"
"No. No, I drink blood!"
"You're The Tick!"
"Uh.. hey, Jacob, take her, she's all yours..."
 

Bartun

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Yeah, but they've never had rpg mechanics before. Too bad. Broken stats would actually explain why hunky supernatural boys keep falling in love with Bella, despite the fact that she's the most boring and plain girl on the planet, by her own admission.
Well, those novels are aimed at women. Yeah, RPG mechanics would help explain some of the broken logic but I don't think it would connect with most women.
 

RepresentingWrath

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Now that I thought about it. It can also be something unassuming and not popular at all. That's the trick of trends. Something on the verge of becoming a trend can eventually take its 'rightful place, but it can be outperformed by dark horse.

Here's an example. Let's choose an unpopular web novel(we are talking about web novels, right?) genre, and for the sake of simplicity let's choose sports. Let's say there is a novel about sports. Not the documentary or biography type, but a fiction book about sports. Let's assume someone decided to make a movie based on the book. The movie is a great success, to the point people want more. They have nothing else other than the book. They read it, they like it, they want more. So we have a new market, and soon enough everyone will start writing sports web novels since they want a slice of that pie. Does it make sense? I think it does, but I might've missed something.
 

Fox-Trot-9

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Hmmmmmmm, considering female empowerment and changing gender norms as the overall zeitgeist in today's public sphere, I see some of that reflected in isekai manga/manhua featuring gender-role-reversed worlds. Basically, it's male protagonists from the normie world isekaied into other worlds in more femboy-looking bodies, and they have to deal with living in a world where women wear the 'pants' and men wear the 'panties,' so to speak. I've only see a few examples, so I'm not sure if this will come into its own like villainess isekai or modern-world isekai. It might or might not. Don't quote me on that.
 

RepresentingWrath

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Hmmmmmmm, considering female empowerment and changing gender norms as the overall zeitgeist in today's public sphere, I see some of that reflected in isekai manga/manhua featuring gender-role-reversed worlds.
I don't know about it. There have been an incredible pushback this year in regards to all of it. Moreover, JP are detached from the world where gender norms are changing. They have their own stuff going on, but it is different. As for CN or KR, they are even further from it. A reminder, recently KR game developing studio did a purge and fired every woman who was connected to 'feminism'.
Basically, it's male protagonists from the normie world isekaied into other worlds in more femboy-looking bodies, and they have to deal with living in a world where women wear the 'pants' and men wear the 'panties,' so to speak. I've only see a few examples, so I'm not sure if this will come into its own like villainess isekai or modern-world isekai. It might or might not. Don't quote me on that.
Overall, I've seen it used as nothing but a stupid fetish, with no actual exploration of this topic. It can still be a new trend, cause we never know, but as is, it is a niche fetish. Same as, for example, netorare.
 

Tyranomaster

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Hmmmmmmm, considering female empowerment and changing gender norms as the overall zeitgeist in today's public sphere, I see some of that reflected in isekai manga/manhua featuring gender-role-reversed worlds. Basically, it's male protagonists from the normie world isekaied into other worlds in more femboy-looking bodies, and they have to deal with living in a world where women wear the 'pants' and men wear the 'panties,' so to speak. I've only see a few examples, so I'm not sure if this will come into its own like villainess isekai or modern-world isekai. It might or might not. Don't quote me on that.
Overall, I've seen it used as nothing but a stupid fetish, with no actual exploration of this topic. It can still be a new trend, cause we never know, but as is, it is a niche fetish. Same as, for example, netorare.
I think it's fairly obvious that, at the very least, this won't be the next trend. Female superhero lead movies aren't doing as well as male leads, and people still mock wuss men characters in movies. Further, movies and books that push this are usually banned in China, which is a big market. It'd take a massive shift in perception in the world, and I don't think that'll happen in the next 3-5 years. We've been in the falling action of isekai as a genre for about 2 years now, so we're just waiting to see what single or plural series end up selling like hot cakes that ends up driving the new genre, and I don't see any evidence that gender bender series are doing well enough to actually drive a wider trend.

I stand by (given Frieren is now the highest rated anime of all time, and has held the title for a year) that we're already probably in the transition phase. Maybe it won't be Frieren style series, but that's really the only big thing in recent times that I can think of that would be a driver for a bunch of new series, but it also didn't have quite as much of a reach as I'd expect for it to do that.

I actually think there is a much higher chance of a backlash, super manly, 1950's style masculinity being the next trend over effeminated males being the next trend.

Edit: Actually, I would like to throw in Crime and Detective novels as a potential as well. The last 5 years have shown how popular true-crime can be, and it might be the next trend.
 
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RepresentingWrath

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I think it's fairly obvious that, at the very least, this won't be the next trend. Female superhero lead movies aren't doing as well as male leads, and people still mock wuss men characters in movies. Further, movies and books that push this are usually banned in China, which is a big market. It'd take a massive shift in perception in the world, and I don't think that'll happen in the next 3-5 years. We've been in the falling action of isekai as a genre for about 2 years now, so we're just waiting to see what single or plural series end up selling like hot cakes that ends up driving the new genre, and I don't see any evidence that gender bender series are doing well enough to actually drive a wider trend.

I stand by (given Frieren is now the highest rated anime of all time, and has held the title for a year) that we're already probably in the transition phase. Maybe it won't be Frieren style series, but that's really the only big thing in recent times that I can think of that would be a driver for a bunch of new series, but it also didn't have quite as much of a reach as I'd expect for it to do that.

I actually think there is a much higher chance of a backlash, super manly, 1950's style masculinity being the next trend over effeminated males being the next trend.
Well, we can never know. Maybe it will be the next trend. Personally, I agree with you, but again, we never know. Another point I want to make is, female superhero lead movies aren't doing as well because they are garbage. First wonder woman with Gal did really well, apparently it was a good movie. I don't know, didn't watch it. The point is, they can do well and can be popular. And we need one really popular work, not 10 mediocre ones, so in theory it can happen.

I am also not sure Frieren style will be the next big thing. I've only read one chapter of Frieren, but based on how you described it, it is new Spy X Family. And Spy x Family fell into obscurity really fast and hard. On a side note, people who made it the highest rated anime of all time are idiots. Tastes differ and blah-blah, but my taste is better. :blob_pout:

About backlash and super manly works, probably won't happen. I'm afraid we can't get back to those times. It might sound crazy and stupid, but deciding factor isn't even modern politics, but steroids. How people view them and how they view super manly men is connected.

But again, I'm not sure about any of those.
 

ThisAdamGuy

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I have absolutely no proof or way to back this up, but I'm going to guess that space operas are going to be the next big genre trend. Soft sci-fi, maybe even science fantasy, but not hard sci-fi since serious in-depth worldbuilding would make it harder to squeeze in the popular tropes. With the popular opinion being that Star Wars has gone down the drain over the past few years, I feel like people are looking for something to fill the Star Wars-shaped hole in their hearts, which will lead to tons of amateur writers trying to fill that particular power vacuum, and when 99% of them can't find a publisher they'll turn to webfiction and flood sites like this with lots of crappy sci-fi stories, and a handful of really good ones.
 
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Tyranomaster

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I have absolutely no proof or way to back this up, but I'm going to guess that space odysseys are going to be the next big genre trend. Soft sci-fi, maybe even science fantasy, but not hard sci-fi since serious in-depth worldbuilding would make it harder to squeeze in the popular tropes. With the popular opinion being that Star Wars has gone down the drain over the past few years, I feel like people are looking for something to fill the Star Wars-shaped hole in their hearts, which will lead to tons of amateur writers trying to fill that particular power vacuum, and when 99% of them can't find a publisher they'll turn to webfiction and flood sites like this with lots of crappy sci-fi stories, and a handful of really good ones.
I think space operas are a pretty good bet, though I think I'd place it as the trend after next. Too much of the star wars audience is still hanging on with the Mandalorian. After it's really dead for good, I think it's got a good chance. Though I'd gladly be wrong. I was a huge fan of star wars before Disney. I loved the expanded universe, bought dozens of books. It's definitely one of the better guesses today.
 

Akaichi

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Saw someone do the math on youtube. It should be Present-day portals/dungeons in about 2-3 years. I'd put it next to Korean regression stories.
Yes, I think it is going to be Regression, and maybe Villains novels.
If you want to know, simply search for a genera that is kinda bad but very promising. Wait until one novel do it write, then it is the trend!
 

RepresentingWrath

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I know what will be popular next! Evil female vampire MCs with a sexy waifu. Y'all better start hopping on the bandwagon if you want to succeed.
 

ThisAdamGuy

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I think space operas are a pretty good bet, though I think I'd place it as the trend after next. Too much of the star wars audience is still hanging on with the Mandalorian. After it's really dead for good, I think it's got a good chance. Though I'd gladly be wrong. I was a huge fan of star wars before Disney. I loved the expanded universe, bought dozens of books. It's definitely one of the better guesses today.
I don't think Star Wars will ever truly die. It's one of the biggest, if not the biggest, franchises in the world. It'll just lose popularity until its a well known but relatively obscure franchise, like what Star Trek has become. Everyone knows what Star Trek is and it's still pumping out new content, but it's actual audience is extremely niche.
 

nii07

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I believe regression, transmigration, and reincarnation novels are the big things right now. I think the next big trend that will feed from that is parallel worlds. There are a few but I believe that one will be the next genre to get a spike.
 

cabbag3

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Saw someone do the math on youtube. It should be Present-day portals/dungeons in about 2-3 years. I'd put it next to Korean regression stories.
Rather than Next trend, isn't that the current trend of KR webnovels? Dungeons and Regression.
For the past 2 years, Villain MC are also trending in JP and KR webnovels.

I noticed that many showbiz (singer, writer, idols, actors, etc) webnovels are getting manhwa-nized (is that a word? lmao) this year. Although there were also some successful showbiz manhwa a few years ago, it wasn't until during the end of the pandemic that a sudden influx of showbiz novels were made.

There were a lot of Showbiz webnovels a decade ago (oh god I feel old) for both CN and KR communities but manhwa adaptations weren't really that big back then.
So maybe since the market is already saturated with Fantasy themed stories, they opted the showbiz genre instead. I'm just bumbed out that the older stories (2015 and before that) weren't adapted.
The most popular ones did get adapted in dramas tho so I guess I can't really complain.

TL;DR: Current Showbiz genre resurgence in KR and CN webnovel and fck i'm old
 

Rezcore

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Honestly, some degenerate smut, probs some shitty stories with forced narratives and stupid political hottakes.
 

expentio

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Might not be quite the question, but on this line of thought I recently find that the Isekai trend is going to be replaced by original fantasy again. Franchises like Frieren making the start to this development.

Though if I have to guess I'd say apocalypse fantasy stories could be the next big thing. Maybe with the building of a human defense front. It could be mixed with LitRPG though.
 

nii07

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Might not be quite the question, but on this line of thought I recently find that the Isekai trend is going to be replaced by original fantasy again. Franchises like Frieren making the start to this development.

Though if I have to guess I'd say apocalypse fantasy stories could be the next big thing. Maybe with the building of a human defense front. It could be mixed with LitRPG though.
I think Apocalypse fantasy stories are pretty popular they just haven't made it to anime yet is all. Rather I think stories like 'I Became the Tyrant of a Defense Game' or 'Pick Me' will be more popular. They fall under the genre of falling into the type of games where characters die and there's no undoing any choice as you fight to the end. They introduce many amazing characters who you get to love and feel sad when they die whilst putting you on edge hoping your favorite one doesn't die.
 
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